Men and women donning masks walk earlier an promotion billboard of the movie ‘Wonder Girl 1984’. Picture taken on 26 Dec. 2020.

Simon Shin | SOPA Illustrations or photos | LightRocket by using Getty Photographs

Can a nostalgia-packed superhero flick persuade men and women to go away their couches and head to the cinemas? “Ponder Girl 1984” seeks to answer that question.

Motion picture theater entrepreneurs are hopeful that the “Marvel Lady” sequel, which comes Christmas Day, will entice a essential demographic back again to cinemas despite ongoing surges in coronavirus circumstances.

But, the ongoing pandemic isn’t really their only problem. On the exact same day that “Surprise Girl 1984” debuts on the big screen, it will also be accessible to stream on HBO Max.

“‘Wonder Lady 1984’ represents the very first test of a simultaneous large screen/compact display screen launch of a title of this magnitude,” explained Paul Dergarabedian, senior media analyst at Comscore.

Box place of work analysts have combined thoughts about how properly the film will accomplish at the domestic box place of work. “Wonder Lady 1984” underperformed final weekend in its international debut, hauling in all-around $38.5 million. This was perfectly below the $60 million that the business had forecast.

The movie could deal with even much more difficulties in the U.S. and Canada contemplating only around 34% of theaters are open. Which is about 2,000 theaters, Comscore stories.

“To area a selection on its possible opening weekend is hard, given that there seriously is no straight comparable release state of affairs,” Dergarabedian stated. “And the most important opening weekend since the mid-March start off of the pandemic shutdown for movie theaters failed to even eclipse the $10 million mark.”

He’s referencing “The Croods: A New Age,” an animated film from Dreamworks, which debuted about Thanksgiving. It had the optimum opening of any film released throughout the pandemic, a paltry $9.7 million. For the full 5-day Thanksgiving weekend it tallied $14.2 million.

Nevertheless, there is pent-up demand from customers for “Question Lady 1984.” This could persuade moviegoers to head to the major screen as an alternative of observing the movie at household.

“We’re seeing ‘Wonder Female 1984’ generate the strongest ticket pre-profits of any movie in the pandemic period consequently much, but I’m leaning cautiously towards above $10 million for the weekend specified the amount of theater closures, audience caution and a simultaneous streaming release,” said Shawn Robbins, main analyst at Boxoffice.com. “A determine nearer to $15 million could be achievable but there is a good deal of unpredictability to issue in correct now.”

Robbins said premium screens these kinds of as IMAX and Dolby Cinema will probably be some of the top rated-doing venues for the sequel because they offer higher high quality seem and image. Non-public bash rentals, where moviegoers rent out a theater for a team of as many as 20 pals and family members members, will also possible deliver a healthful share of the box workplace.

In the final five decades, the Christmas Working day box place of work has created at minimum $80 million for the solitary day. That figure will not be found this calendar year, analysts concur.

In non-pandemic periods, “Wonder Lady 1984” could have opened at amongst $100 million and $150 million, Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter said. With so numerous theaters shuttered, the risk of the coronavirus looming and the availability of the movie on HBO Max, Pachter predicted an opening of concerning $15 million and $25 million.

“Even though numerous will be picking out to remain residence this holiday and watch the film, fans and families in marketplaces exactly where safe and sound and ready to do so could transform out in reasonably good quantities, even though a significantly cry from what they would usually be for a blockbuster superhero sequel opening on Xmas,” Robbins claimed.

Disclosure: Comcast is the parent corporation of NBCUniversal and CNBC. NBCUniversal owns Dreamworks Animation.